244 lb works out to 2x45 + 1x10 per side plus the bar — call it 245 lb in practice, since gyms rarely stock the odd change. At 8 reps the formulas are starting to drift apart — 15 lb between the lowest and highest here — which is the method telling you the estimate is getting soft. Treat the lower end as the safer number. Your 195 lb set represents about 80% of the estimated max.
Why 8 reps widens the answer
Eight reps is where this method starts costing you accuracy. 234 to 249 lb is a 6.1% band, and a set of eight tests how long you can hold a brace as much as how much force you can produce. Wathan and Mayhew were built on bench-press data containing long sets and read high here; Brzycki reads low. The median, 244 lb, is a compromise between two genuinely different claims rather than a consensus.
Training loads from a 244 lb max
Programmes are written as percentages of the max, not as absolute weights. From 244 lb, rounded to the nearest 5 lb:
| Percentage | Load | Typical set |
|---|---|---|
| 95% | 230 lb | Heavy single |
| 90% | 220 lb | Doubles and triples |
| 85% | 205 lb | Sets of four to five |
| 80% | 195 lb | Sets of six |
| 75% | 185 lb | Sets of eight |
| 70% | 170 lb | Volume work, ten or more |
244 lb loads as 2x45 + 1x10 per side plus the bar, or 245 lb on the bar. Round every figure in that table to the nearest 5 lb and stop there — the seven formulas disagree by 15 lb on this set, so chasing a two-pound difference is chasing noise. If your gym stocks 2.5 lb pairs, save them for the top two rows, where a small miss costs the most reps.
The formulas behind this answer, and their limitations
The table above the fold is Epley (1985), Brzycki (1993), Lombardi (1989), O'Conner (1989), Wathan (1994), Lander (1985) and Mayhew (1992), each applied to 195 lb for 8 reps; the headline figure is their median. All seven assume a set taken close to failure with clean technique. At 8 reps you are at the top of the band these equations were fitted on, and beyond it they diverge fast, so 244 lb is a ceiling rather than a target. They also under-rate strong, experienced lifters, who hold a higher percentage of max at any rep count than the regression average. The full account — the populations behind each equation, what a bounced rep does to it, and why we stop at ten reps — is set out on the methodology page. Warm up thoroughly and use safety bars or a spotter before going anywhere near 244 lb. This is a training estimate, not medical advice.